{"id":10974,"date":"2020-07-29T20:15:17","date_gmt":"2020-07-29T12:15:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/\/?p=10974"},"modified":"2023-09-19T11:59:13","modified_gmt":"2023-09-19T03:59:13","slug":"us-history-return-100-crestmont","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/\/us-history-return-100-crestmont\/","title":{"rendered":"\u89e3\u6790\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868\u300b\u5f9eCrestmont Research\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u6b77\u53f2\u5716\u8868 \u770b\u51fa\u7f8e\u80a1\u6b77\u5e74\u5831\u916c\u7387\u76f8\u95dc\u5f71\u97ff"},"content":{"rendered":"<!-- \/367108978\/Rich01_PC_up_728x90 -->\n\t<div class='div-gpt-ad-css' id='div-gpt-ad-1564472272479-0' style='width: 728px; height: 90px;'>\n\t  <script>\n\t\tgoogletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1564472272479-0'); });\n\t  <\/script>\n\t<\/div><p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10975\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200529233921_79.jpg\" alt=\"\u89e3\u6790\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716 Crestmont Research\u7f8e\u80a1\u6b77\u5e74\u5831\u916c\u7387\u5f71\u97ff\" width=\"960\" height=\"502\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u300c\u9577\u671f\u6301\u6709\u7f8e\u80a120\u5e74\u4e00\u5b9a\u8cfa\u9322\u55ce\uff1f\u300d\u7b54\u6848\u662f\uff0c\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b77\u53f2\u662f\u4e00\u9762\u93e1\u5b50\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u6211\u5011\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u672a\u4f86\u6703\u767c\u751f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f9e\u6b77\u53f2\u767c\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u505a\u70ba\u73fe\u5728\u7684\u53c3\u8003\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5168\u7403\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6a5f\u69cb\u4e4b\u4e00Crestmont Research\uff0c\u9577\u671f\u5c08\u6ce8\u65bc\u7814\u7a76\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u6b77\u53f2\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c<br \/>\n\u88fd\u4f5c\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u975e\u5e38\u8457\u540d\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868\uff0c<br \/>\n\u7d71\u8a08\u4e86\u5f9e1900\u5e74\u81f32019\u5e74\u7f8e\u80a1\u6b77\u5e74\u5831\u916c\u7387\u7684\u8cc7\u6599(\u6bcf\u5e74\u6301\u7e8c\u66f4\u65b0)\uff0c\u4e00\u5f35\u5716\u88e1\u9762\u6709\u975e\u5e38\u591a\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u8ddf\u7d30\u7bc0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u5f35\u5716\u8868\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u8a8d\u70ba\u975e\u5e38\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u770b\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4ee5\u4e0b\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u5e36\u4f60\u4f86\u770b\u770b\u5716\u8868\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u610f\u7fa9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8a73\u7d30\u5716\u8868\u8cc7\u6599\u53ef\u81f3<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/www.crestmontresearch.com\/stock-matrix-options\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">Crestmont Research\u5b98\u7db2<\/a>\u67e5\u95b1\u4e0b\u8f09\u3002<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<h2>Crestmont Research\u7684\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f<\/h2>\n<p>Crestmont Research\u6240\u88fd\u4f5c\u7684\u77e9\u9663\u5716\uff0c<br \/>\n\u63a1\u7528\u7684\u662f\u516c\u8a8d\u6700\u80fd\u4ee3\u8868\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e500(S&amp;P 500)\u6307\u6578\uff0c<br \/>\n\u5176\u5716\u8868\u4f9d\u7167\u5831\u916c\u7387\u662f\u5426\u8a08\u5165\u80a1\u5229\u3001\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\u3001\u7a05\u3001\u901a\u81a8\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u5206\u70ba6\u5f35\u5716\u8868\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><strong>6<\/strong><strong>\u5f35\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868\uff1a<\/strong><a href=/index.html"https:\/\/www.crestmontresearch.com\/stock-matrix-options\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">\u5716\u8868\u4e0b\u8f09\u9023\u7d50<\/a><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\" rowspan=\"1\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;6\u5f35\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868&quot;}\">\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>6\u5f35\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868<\/strong><\/h3>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"1\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u7248\u672c&quot;}\"><strong>\u7248\u672c<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u4f7f\u7528\u6307\u6578&quot;}\"><strong>\u4f7f\u7528\u6307\u6578<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u80a1\u5229\u518d\u6295\u8cc7&quot;}\"><strong>\u80a1\u5229\u518d\u6295\u8cc7<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u8a08\u5165\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c&quot;}\"><strong>\u8a08\u5165<br \/>\n\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u8a08\u5165\u7a05&quot;}\"><strong>\u8a08\u5165\u7a05<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u8abf\u6574\u901a\u81a8&quot;}\"><strong>\u8abf\u6574\u901a\u81a8<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:3,&quot;3&quot;:1}\">1<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u6307\u6578\u5831\u916c\u7387\\n (Stock Index Only)&quot;}\" data-sheets-hyperlinkruns=\"{&quot;1&quot;:0,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.crestmontresearch.com\/docs\/Stock-Matrix-Index5-11x17.pdf&quot;}\uee10{&quot;1&quot;:5}\">\u6307\u6578\u5831\u916c\u7387<br \/>\n(Stock Index Only)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747&quot;}\">\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:3,&quot;3&quot;:2}\">2<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u540d\u76ee\u7a05\u5f8c\u5831\u916c\u7387\\n (Taxpayer Nominal)&quot;}\" data-sheets-hyperlinkruns=\"{&quot;1&quot;:0,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.crestmontresearch.com\/docs\/Stock-Matrix-Taxpayer-Nominal2-11x17.pdf&quot;}\uee10{&quot;1&quot;:7}\">\u540d\u76ee\u7a05\u5f8c\u5831\u916c\u7387<br \/>\n(Taxpayer Nominal)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747&quot;}\">\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:3,&quot;3&quot;:3}\">3<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u5be6\u8cea\u7a05\u5f8c\u5831\u916c\u7387\\n (Taxpayer Real)&quot;}\" data-sheets-hyperlinkruns=\"{&quot;1&quot;:0,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.crestmontresearch.com\/docs\/Stock-Matrix-Taxpayer-Real1-11x17.pdf&quot;}\uee10{&quot;1&quot;:7}\">\u5be6\u8cea\u7a05\u5f8c\u5831\u916c\u7387<br \/>\n(Taxpayer Real)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747&quot;}\">\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:3,&quot;3&quot;:4}\">4<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u6307\u6578\u5831\u916c\u7387\\n (Stock Index only: Year-end Index)&quot;}\" data-sheets-hyperlinkruns=\"{&quot;1&quot;:0,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.crestmontresearch.com\/docs\/Stock-Matrix-Index6-YE-11x17.pdf&quot;}\uee10{&quot;1&quot;:5}\">\u6307\u6578\u5831\u916c\u7387<br \/>\n(Stock Index only: Year-end Index)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u5e74\u672b\u6307\u6578&quot;}\">\u5e74\u672b\u6307\u6578<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:3,&quot;3&quot;:5}\">5<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u540d\u76ee\u7a05\u524d\u5831\u916c\u7387\\n (Tax-exempt Nominal)&quot;}\" data-sheets-hyperlinkruns=\"{&quot;1&quot;:0,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.crestmontresearch.com\/docs\/Stock-Matrix-Tax-Exempt-Nominal4-11x17.pdf&quot;}\uee10{&quot;1&quot;:7}\">\u540d\u76ee\u7a05\u524d\u5831\u916c\u7387<br \/>\n(Tax-exempt Nominal)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747&quot;}\">\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:3,&quot;3&quot;:6}\">6<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u5be6\u8cea\u7a05\u524d\u5831\u916c\u7387\\n (Tax-exempt Real)&quot;}\" data-sheets-hyperlinkruns=\"{&quot;1&quot;:0,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.crestmontresearch.com\/docs\/Stock-Matrix-Tax-Exempt-Real3-11x17.pdf&quot;}\uee10{&quot;1&quot;:7}\">\u5be6\u8cea\u7a05\u524d\u5831\u916c\u7387<br \/>\n(Tax-exempt Real)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747&quot;}\">\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;X&quot;}\">X<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;V&quot;}\">V<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\" colspan=\"7\" rowspan=\"1\" data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;\u8cc7\u6599\u6574\u7406\uff1aMr.Market\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f &quot;}\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u8cc7\u6599\u6574\u7406\uff1aMr.Market\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>\u4e00\u822c\u4eba\u5728\u770b\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5831\u916c\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u90fd\u6703\u770b\u7b2c\u4e00\u7a2e\u7248\u672c\uff0c<br \/>\n\u5373\u6c92\u6709\u8003\u616e\u80a1\u5229\u3001\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\u3001\u7a05\u3001\u901a\u81a8\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u5fc5\u9808\u8003\u616e\u9019\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u5f8c\uff0c\u624d\u662f\u6700\u771f\u5be6\u7684\u5831\u916c\u72c0\u6cc1\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u63d0\u793a\uff1a<br \/>\n\u6211\u81ea\u5df1\u6703\u628a\u57162\u4f5c\u70ba\u5831\u916c\u6578\u5b57\u7684\u8861\u91cf\u3001\u57163\u4f5c\u70ba\u672a\u4f86\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u7684\u8861\u91cf\u3002\u7576\u7136\u6b77\u53f2\u5831\u916c\u4e0d\u7b49\u65bc\u672a\u4f86\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u6211\u5011\u505a\u6295\u8cc7\u8a08\u756b\u6642\u6709\u500b\u53c3\u7167\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h3>\u8a72\u5982\u4f55\u95b1\u8b80\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868\uff1f<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-10977\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200529235647_39.jpg\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868\u95b1\u8b80\u91cd\u9ede\" width=\"650\" height=\"467\" \/><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5716\u8868\u5de6\u65b9\u7684\u5e74\u4efd\u4ee3\u8868\u6295\u8cc7\u8d77\u59cb\u5e74\u4efd\uff0c\u4e0a\u65b9\u7684\u5e74\u4efd\u4ee3\u8868\u6295\u8cc7\u7d50\u675f\u5e74\u4efd\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u6bcf\u500b\u5c0f\u683c\u5b50\u5167\u7684\u6578\u5b57\u90fd\u4ee3\u8868\u8457\u8d77\u59cb\u5e74\u81f3\u7d42\u6b62\u5e74\u7684\u8907\u5408\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c\u7387\u3002<br \/>\n\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\u6211\u5011\u60f3\u77e5\u90531980\u5e74\u6295\u8cc7\u52302000\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u5831\u916c\u7387\uff0c\u4fbf\u53ef\u627e\u5230\u6578\u5b5713\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4ee3\u8868\u8907\u5408\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c\u7387\u662f13%\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u6bcf\u500b\u5c0f\u683c\u5b50\u7684\u984f\u8272\u4ee3\u8868\u8a72\u5340\u584a\u7684\u5831\u916c\u7387\uff0c\u7d05\u8272\u70ba\u5c0f\u65bc0%\u3001\u7c89\u7d05\u8272\u70ba0%\uff5e3%\uff0c<br \/>\n\u85cd\u8272\u70ba3%\uff5e7%\u3001\u7da0\u8272\u70ba7%\uff5e10%\u3001\u6df1\u7da0\u8272\u70ba10%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5716\u4e2d\u8868\u683c\u6709\u8aaa\u660e\u6b64\u5716\u8868\u662f\u5426\u8a08\u5165\u80a1\u5229\u3001\u7a05\u3001\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\u3001\u901a\u81a8\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5c0f\u683c\u5b50\u5167\u7684\u6578\u5b57\u82e5\u70ba\u767d\u8272\u4ee3\u8868\u671f\u9593<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/pe-ratio-basic\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4<\/a>(P\/ E ratio)\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u70ba\u9ed1\u8272\u4ee3\u8868\u671f\u9593\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5728\u5e74\u4efd\u65c1\u908a\u7684\u6578\u5b57\u53ef\u770b\u5230\u5404\u5e74\u5ea6<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-is-sp500-index\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">S&amp;P 500\u6307\u6578<\/a>\u7684\u6578\u5b57\u53ca\u7576\u5e74\u5ea6\u7684P\/E ratio\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5716\u8868\u53f3\u65b9\u6a19\u793a\u4e86\u5404\u5e74\u5ea6\u767c\u751f\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5716\u8868\u4e0b\u65b9\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u5404\u5e74\u5ea6S&amp;P 500\u7684\u80a1\u5229\u3001<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/blog-post_17-8\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u901a\u81a8<\/a>\u53caGDP\u6210\u9577\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5f9e\u5de6\u4e0a1920\u5e74\u4ee3\u5f80\u53f3\u4e0b\u756b\u7684\u90a3\u689d\u659c\u7dda\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u4e86\u6295\u8cc720\u5e74\u7684\u5206\u6c34\u5dba\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2>\u7528\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716 \u770b\u5716\u8868\u8aaa\u6545\u4e8b<\/h2>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u5c076\u5f35\u5716\u8868\u653e\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u770b\u5176\u984f\u8272\u5340\u584a\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u6e05\u695a\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u5dee\u7570\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-10978\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200530000008_23.jpg\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868 \u984f\u8272\u5340\u584a\u6bd4\u8f03\" width=\"651\" height=\"329\" srcset=\"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200530000008_23.jpg 1667w, https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200530000008_23-1536x778.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 651px) 100vw, 651px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>1. \u80a1\u5229\u662f\u5426\u518d\u6295\u8cc7\u5f71\u97ff\u5de8\u5927<\/h3>\n<p>\u57161. \u6c92\u6709\u80a1\u5229\u518d\u6295\u8cc7\u3001\u6c92\u8003\u616e\u7a05\u52d9<br \/>\n\u57162. \u6709\u80a1\u5229\u518d\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u6709\u8003\u616e\u7a05\u52d9<\/p>\n<p>\u770b\u7b2c\u4e00\u5f35\u5716\u8207\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5f35\u5716\u7684\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5f35\u5716\u96d6\u8a08\u5165\u4e86\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\u8ddf\u7a05\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4f46\u5728\u80a1\u5229\u518d\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4e0b\uff0c\u5831\u916c\u660e\u986f\u6bd4\u7b2c\u4e00\u5f35\u5716\u597d\uff0c\u7da0\u8272\u5340\u584a\u8b8a\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-10979\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200530000146_80.jpg\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868 \u80a1\u5229\u518d\u6295\u8cc7\u5831\u916c\u7387\" width=\"651\" height=\"316\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>2. \u901a\u81a8\u5f71\u97ff\u5de8\u5927\uff0c\u4fb5\u8755\u7372\u5229\uff1a<\/h3>\n<p>\u770b\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5f35\u5716\u8ddf\u7b2c\u4e09\u5f35\u5716\u7684\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u53ea\u5dee\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u5f35\u5716\u8a08\u5165\u4e86<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/blog-post_17-8\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139<\/a>\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c<br \/>\n\u5831\u916c\u7387\u660e\u986f\u4e0b\u964d\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u57281970\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u9023\u7e8c\u6295\u8cc720\u5e74\u539f\u672c\u7684\u540d\u76ee\u5831\u916c\u7387\u662f\u6b63\u7684\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4f46\u662f\u8003\u91cf\u901a\u81a8\u56e0\u7d20\u5f8c\uff0c\u5be6\u8cea\u5831\u916c\u7387\u8b8a\u6210\u8ca0\u7684\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u901a\u81a8\u5f71\u97ff\u5de8\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-10980\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200530000320_85.jpg\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868 \u901a\u81a8\u5f71\u97ff\u5de8\u5927\u4fb5\u8755\u7372\u5229\" width=\"650\" height=\"314\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>3. \u725b\u5e02\u6216\u718a\u5e02\u5747\u7dad\u6301\u751a\u4e45\uff1a<\/h3>\n<p>\u5f9e\u5716\u8868\u53ef\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u984f\u8272\u6709\u7fa4\u805a\u7684\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u662f\u725b\u5e02\u6216\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u968e\u6bb5\u4e00\u65e6\u5c55\u958b\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u6b77\u6642\u751a\u4e45\uff0c<br \/>\n\u56e0\u6b64\u6295\u8cc710\u5e74\u6216\u751a\u81f320\u5e74\u90fd\u96e3\u4ee5\u78ba\u4fdd\u5f97\u5230\u6b63\u7684\u5831\u916c\u7387\uff0c<br \/>\n\u7136\u800c\u6295\u8cc720\u5e74\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5f97\u5230\u6b63\u5831\u916c\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-10981\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200530000513_39.jpg\" alt=\"\u725b\u5e02\u6216\u718a\u5e02\u5747\u7dad\u6301\u751a\u4e45(\u984f\u8272\u6709\u7fa4\u805a\u73fe\u8c61)\" width=\"650\" height=\"499\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>4. \u9032\u5834\u6642\u6a5f\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4e86\u5f8c\u9762\u7684\u5831\u916c\u7387\uff1a<\/h3>\n<p>\u5f9e\u5716\u8868\u53ef\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u9032\u5834\u6642\u6a5f\u4f54\u4e86\u95dc\u9375\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u57281930\u5e74\u4ee3\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u90a3\u6295\u8cc7\u4e8620\u5e74\u90fd\u9084\u662f\u8ca0\u7684\uff1b<br \/>\n\u5982\u679c\u57281950\u5e74\u4ee3\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u5247\u4eab\u53d7\u4e86\u9023\u7e8c20\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u984d\u5831\u916c\u3002<br \/>\n\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6211<strong>\u5011\u751f\u5728\u54ea\u500b\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e26\u7121\u6cd5\u638c\u63a7<\/strong>\uff0c\u4e5f\u7121\u6cd5\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\uff0c<br \/>\n\u53ea\u80fd\u505a\u5230\u76e1\u91cf\u5206\u6563\u6295\u8cc7\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u55ae\u4e00\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u6295\u5165\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u63d0\u793a\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u7121\u6cd5\u78ba\u5b9a\u81ea\u5df1\u9032\u5834\u7684\u6642\u4ee3\u597d\u58de\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u5206\u6563\u6295\u5165\u6642\u9593\u3001\u62c9\u9577\u6295\u8cc7\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u5c31\u662f\u505a\u597d\u8cc7\u7522\u914d\u7f6e\u3002<br \/>\n\u53ef\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/how-asset-allocation-1\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u8cc7\u7522\u914d\u7f6e\u600e\u9ebc\u505a\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-10982\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200530000640_29.jpg\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868 \u9032\u5834\u6642\u6a5f\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4e86\u5f8c\u9762\u7684\u5831\u916c\u7387\" width=\"651\" height=\"502\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>5. \u5728\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u4f4e\u6642\u9032\u5834\u7372\u5229\u6a5f\u7387\u8f03\u9ad8\uff1a<\/h3>\n<p>\u5f9e\u5716\u8868\u53ef\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u7da0\u8272\u5c0f\u683c\u5b50\u5167\u7684\u6578\u5b57\u5e7e\u4e4e\u90fd\u662f\u9ed1\u8272\u7684\uff0c<br \/>\n\u800c\u7d05\u8272\u3001\u7c89\u8272\u5c0f\u683c\u5b50\u5167\u7684\u6578\u5b57\u5247\u591a\u70ba\u767d\u8272\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u8457\u5728\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u4f4e\u6642\u9032\u5834\uff0c<br \/>\n\u9577\u671f\u6301\u6709\u5f8c\uff0c\u5728\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u9ad8\u6642\u51fa\u5834\uff0c\u5831\u916c\u7387\u4e5f\u96a8\u4e4b\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u95dc\u65bc\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u53ef\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/us-shiller-pe-ratio\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4e0d\u540c\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u6642\u9032\u5834\uff0c\u9577\u671f\u6295\u8cc7\u6210\u679c\u5dee\u591a\u5c11\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-10983\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200530001227_42.jpg\" alt=\"\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u4f4e\u9032\u5834 \u7372\u5229\u8f03\u9ad8\" width=\"650\" height=\"496\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>6. \u9577\u671f\u5be6\u8cea\u7a05\u5f8c\u5831\u916c\u7387<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/positive-negative-expected-value-thinking-2023\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u671f\u671b\u503c<\/a>\u70ba3%\uff5e7%\uff1a<\/h3>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u4ee5\u5be6\u8cea\u7a05\u5f8c\u5831\u916c\u7387\u7684\u5716\u8868\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u6295\u8cc720\u5e74\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4ee5\u85cd\u8272\u5340\u584a\u5c45\u591a\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4ee3\u8868\u8457\u9577\u671f\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u5be6\u8cea\u5831\u916c\u7387\u50c5\u7d043%\uff5e7%\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u4e5f\u4e0d\u53ef\u505a\u904e\u9ad8\u7684\u671f\u5f85\uff0c<br \/>\n\u56e0\u70ba\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u7e3e\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u9019\u4e5f\u5f88\u770b\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u5e74\u4ee3\u5373\u4f7f\u62c9\u9577\u6295\u8cc7\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u6240\u5f97\u5230\u7684\u5831\u916c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u8f03\u5dee(\u7d05\u8272\u3001\u7c89\u7d05)\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-10984\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200530001435_78.jpg\" alt=\"\u9577\u671f\u5be6\u8cea\u7a05\u5f8c\u5831\u916c\u7387\" width=\"650\" height=\"512\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>\u89e3\u6790\u7f8e\u80a1\u77e9\u9663\u5716\u8868 \u5feb\u901f\u91cd\u9ede\u6574\u7406<\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5c0d\u65bc\u80a1\u5e02\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u505a\u592a\u591a\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u4fdd\u6301\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\u671f\u5f85\uff0c\u4e26\u505a\u597d\u6700\u58de\u7684\u6253\u7b97\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 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target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u4e0d\u898b\u5f97\u9700\u8981\u8cc7\u7522\u914d\u7f6e\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p>3.\u00a0<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/us-stocks-broker-choose\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u7f8e\u80a1\u5238\u5546\u958b\u6236\u6bd4\u8f03(\u80a1\u7968ETF\u3001\u50b5\u5238ETF)<\/a><\/p>\n<p>4.\u00a0<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/fund-cnyes-mrmarket\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u57fa\u91d1\u958b\u6236\u300b\u6700\u65b0\u624b\u7e8c\u8cbb\u512a\u60e0\u63a8\u85a6<\/a><\/p>\n<p>5.\u00a0<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/fund-cnyes-mrmarket\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u53f0\u80a1\u80a1\u7968\/ETF\u300b\u6700\u65b0\u958b\u6236\u5238\u5546\u512a\u60e0\u63a8\u85a6<\/a><\/p>\n\u5c08\u6b04\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u725f\u5747\u4fde\u3000\u4e3b\u7de8\uff1a\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u52a0\u5165\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751fFB\u793e\u5718\uff0c\u5145\u5be6\u66f4\u591a\u7406\u8ca1\u597d\u77e5\u8b58<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\r\n<p>50\u6b72\u4e4b\u524d\u60f3\u9000\u4f11\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u61c2\u7406\u8ca1\uff0c<br \/>\u89e3\u6c7a\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u7169\u60f1\uff01<\/p>\r\n<p><a href=/index.html"https:\/\/bit.ly\/2NTBOAv\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-7106\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20190824195036_69.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"687\" height=\"243\" 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