{"id":11450,"date":"2020-06-26T22:21:17","date_gmt":"2020-06-26T14:21:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/\/?p=11450"},"modified":"2022-09-02T14:38:30","modified_gmt":"2022-09-02T06:38:30","slug":"what-is-bull-bear-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/\/what-is-bull-bear-market\/","title":{"rendered":"\u725b\u5e02\u718a\u5e02\/\u591a\u982d\u7a7a\u982d\u610f\u601d\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\u7531\u4f86\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\u8981\u5982\u4f55\u5224\u65b7\u718a\u5e02\u725b\u5e02\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<!-- \/367108978\/Rich01_PC_up_728x90 -->\n\t<div class='div-gpt-ad-css' id='div-gpt-ad-1564472272479-0' style='width: 728px; height: 90px;'>\n\t  <script>\n\t\tgoogletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1564472272479-0'); });\n\t  <\/script>\n\t<\/div><p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-11451\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200612161154_70.jpg\" alt=\"\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u591a\u982d \u7a7a\u982d \u725b\u5e02 \u718a\u5e02 \u7279\u5fb5 \u5982\u4f55\u5224\u65b7\" width=\"960\" height=\"502\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5e38\u807d\u65b0\u805e\u5a92\u9ad4\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u8655\u65bc\u7a7a\u982d\u3001\u591a\u982d\uff0c<br \/>\n\u6216\u8005\u6709\u4e9b\u5831\u5c0e\u5247\u8aaa\u5e02\u5834\u8655\u65bc\u725b\u5e02(Bull market)\u3001\u718a\u5e02<span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">(Bear market)<\/span>\uff0c\u5230\u5e95\u718a\u5e02\u725b\u5e02\u610f\u601d\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5462\uff1f<br \/>\n\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u4ecb\u7d39\u9019\u5e7e\u500b\u540d\u8a5e\uff0c\u5206\u70ba\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5e7e\u500b\u90e8\u5206\uff1a<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u725b\u5e02(Bull market)\u3001\u591a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff1f<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u718a\u5e02(Bear market)\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff1f<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5982\u4f55\u5224\u65b7\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u591a\u982d(\u725b\u5e02)\u9084\u7a7a\u982d(\u718a\u5e02)\uff1f<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u5c0d\u65bc\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u5224\u65b7\u76843\u500b\u63d0\u9192<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u6709\u8fa6\u6cd5\u9810\u5224\u55ce\uff1f\u6211\u7684\u770b\u6cd5<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<h2>\u725b\u5e02\u610f\u601d\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f<\/h2>\n<p><strong>\u725b\u5e02(\u82f1\u6587:Bull market)\u610f\u601d\u662f<\/strong>\u591a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u725b\u5e02\u5c31\u662f\u4ee3\u8868\u80a1\u5e02\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u5448\u73fe\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f86\u80a1\u50f9\u6703\u4e0a\u6f32\u3001\u770b\u597d\u80a1\u5e02\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u5c31\u7a31\u70ba\u591a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c<br \/>\n\u6b50\u7f8e\u628a\u591a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\u7a31\u70ba\u725b\u5e02(Bull Market)\uff0c\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u7a31\u70ba\u300c\u725b\u300d\uff0c<br \/>\n\u6709\u4eba\u8aaa\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u725b\u5728\u653b\u64ca\u6642\u6703\u5c07\u725b\u89d2\u5f80\u4e0a\u9802\uff0c\u9019\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u60f3\u6210\u80a1\u5e02\u884c\u60c5\u5f80\u4e0a\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff1b<br \/>\n\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u7a2e\u8aaa\u6cd5\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u725b\u662f\u7fa4\u9ad4\u52d5\u7269\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u7576\u80a1\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u71b1\u7d61\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c<br \/>\n\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u64e0\u5728\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u88e1\u842c\u982d\u6522\u52d5\u7684\u6a23\u5b50\uff0c\u5c31\u4ee3\u8868\u80a1\u5e02\u524d\u666f\u975e\u5e38\u770b\u597d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u80a1\u57282009\uff5e2018\u88ab\u7a31\u70ba\u5927\u591a\u982d\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u4e00\u8def\u770b\u597d\uff0c<br \/>\n\u7576\u6642\u7f8e\u570b\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u5305\u542b<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-dow-jones-index\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578<\/a>\u3001<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-is-sp500-index\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">S&amp;P500\u6307\u6578<\/a>\uff0c\u90fd\u6709\u9577\u671f\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c<br \/>\n\u7576\u7136\u9019\u904e\u7a0b\u5fc5\u7136\u6709\u4e9b\u8d77\u4f0f\uff0c\u4f46\u5f9e\u5716\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5de6\u4e0b\u5230\u53f3\u4e0a\u7684\u9577\u671f\u8da8\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-11461\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200612172224_90.jpg\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u80a1\u5927\u591a\u982d-\u725b\u5e02\u6642\u671f-\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578\" width=\"650\" height=\"337\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>\u718a\u5e02\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f<\/h2>\n<p><strong>\u718a\u5e02(\u82f1\u6587:Bear market)\u610f\u601d\u662f<\/strong>\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u718a\u5e02\u4ee3\u8868\u80a1\u5e02\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u5448\u73fe\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f86\u80a1\u50f9\u6703\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3001\u770b\u58de\u80a1\u5e02\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u5c31\u7a31\u70ba\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c<br \/>\n\u6b50\u7f8e\u628a\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\u7a31\u70ba\u718a\u5e02(Bear Market)\uff0c\u7a7a\u982d\u7684\u610f\u601d\u5c31\u662f\u5148\u8ce3\u51fa\u518d\u8cb7\u9032\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4ee3\u8868\u80a1\u50f9\u7d93\u6b77\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u5927\u8dcc\u5c0f\u6f32\u7684\u5c40\u9762\uff0c\u90a3\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u7a31\u70ba\u300c\u718a\u300d\uff1f<br \/>\n\u6709\u4e00\u8aaa\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u718a\u5728\u653b\u64ca\u4eba\u6642\uff0c\u624b\u638c\u6703\u5f80\u4e0b\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4ee3\u8868\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834\u4e0b\u8dcc\u770b\u58de\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u80a1\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u718a\u5e02(\u7a7a\u982d)\u5c31\u662f1930\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5927\u856d\u689d\u3001<br \/>\n2008\u5e74\u96f7\u66fc\u5144\u5f1f\u6b21\u8cb8\u5371\u6a5f\u5f15\u767c\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\uff0c\u7576\u6642\u7f8e\u570b\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u6578\uff0c<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-dow-jones-index\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578<\/a>\u3001<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-is-sp500-index\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">S&amp;P500\u6307\u6578<\/a>\uff0c\u90fd\u5e7e\u4e4e\u8dcc\u4e86\u5feb\u4e00\u534a\uff0c<br \/>\n\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u4e5f\u76f8\u7576\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-11462\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200612172353_87.jpg\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u80a1\u7a7a\u982d-\u718a\u5e02\u6642\u671f\uff0d\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578\" width=\"651\" height=\"301\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>\u5982\u4f55\u5224\u65b7\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u591a\u982d(\u725b\u5e02)\u9084\u7a7a\u982d(\u718a\u5e02)\uff1f<\/h2>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9577\u671f\u800c\u8a00\u5145\u6eff\u8457\u5404\u7a2e\u4e0a\u4e0b\u9707\u76ea\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u901a\u5e38\u6703\u5c0d\u5176\u4e2d\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u3001\u6642\u9593\u8f03\u9577\u7684\u591a\u982d\u8207\u7a7a\u982d\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u6709\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u95dc\u6ce8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u591a\u982d\u548c\u7a7a\u982d\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u7d55\u5c0d\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\u5b9a\u7fa9\uff0c<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u5e7e\u500b\u5e38\u898b\u7684\u5b9a\u7fa9\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>1. \u64da<strong>\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831<\/strong>\u7684\u5b9a\u7fa9\u4f86\u770b\uff0c<br \/>\n\u7576\u80a1\u50f9\u8dcc\u8d85\u904e20%\u5c31\u4ee3\u8868\u9032\u5165\u718a\u5e02(\u7a7a\u982d)\u3001\u80a1\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u8d85\u904e20%\u5c31\u4ee3\u8868\u725b\u5e02(\u591a\u982d)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2. \u8a31\u591a\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u4e5f\u6703\u5f9e\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda(MA)\uff0c\u4f86\u63a8\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u73fe\u5728\u662f\u591a\u982d\u9084\u662f\u7a7a\u982d\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4e00\u822c\u4f86\u8aaa\u6703\u5f9e\u5747\u7ddaMA\u7684\u5b63\u7dda(60MA)\uff0c\u4f86\u770b\u5927\u76e4\u6307\u6578\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u7576\u5927\u76e4\u6307\u6578\u50f9\u683c\u4f4d\u65bc\u5747\u7dda(\u5b63\u7dda60MA)\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u9019\u6642\u80a1\u5e02\u8f03\u6a02\u89c0\uff0c\u53ef\u7a31\u70ba\u591a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u7576\u5927\u76e4\u6307\u6578\u50f9\u683c\u4f4d\u65bc\u5747\u7dda(\u5b63\u7dda60MA)\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u9019\u6642\u80a1\u5e02\u8f03\u60b2\u89c0\uff0c\u53ef\u7a31\u70ba\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u4f7f\u7528\u4e0d\u540c\u9577\u5ea6\u7684\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a\u6708\u7dda(20MA)\u3001\u5b63\u7dda(60MA)\u3001\u534a\u5e74\u7dda(120MA)\u3001\u5e74\u7dda(240MA)\uff0c\u5247\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u60f3\u8981\u89c0\u5bdf\u591a\u9577\u6642\u9593\u5340\u9593\u4e4b\u4e0b\u7684\u591a\u7a7a\u8da8\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>3. \u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u5c08\u696d\u6a5f\u69cb\u5728\u5b9a\u7fa9\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u5224\u65b7\u51fa\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u7684\u6642\u9593\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u6b64\u6642\u80a1\u5e02\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u50cf\u662f OECD CLI\u6307\u6578\u3001NBER\u6307\u6578\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u63d0\u793a\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>\u7121\u8ad6\u54ea\u4e00\u7a2e\u65b9\u6cd5\u5224\u65b7\u591a\u982d\u8207\u7a7a\u982d\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u5c0d\u904e\u53bb\u548c\u7576\u4e0b\u505a\u56de\u9867\u63cf\u8ff0\uff0c<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u672a\u4f86\u8da8\u52e2\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5ef6\u7e8c\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u767c\u751f\u8f49\u6298\uff0c\u7576\u4e0b\u591a\u982d\u8207\u7a7a\u982d\u7684\u5224\u65b7\u4e26\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u7cbe\u6e96\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u5c0d\u65bc\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u5224\u65b7\u76843\u500b\u63d0\u9192<\/h2>\n<p>\u9019\u554f\u984c\u548c\u8dcc\u591a\u5c11\u7b97\u5d29\u76e4\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u6709\u7684\u4eba\u8a8d\u70ba\u8dcc10%\u5c31\u7b97\u5d29\u76e4\uff0c\u6709\u7684\u4eba\u5247\u8a8d\u70ba\u8dcc30%\u624d\u7b97\u5d29\u76e4\uff0c\u6bcf\u500b\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u81ea\u5df1\u5b9a\u7fa9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u9019\u88e1\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u6709\u4e09\u9ede\u8981\u63d0\u9192\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><strong>1. \u591a\u982d\u8207\u7a7a\u982d\u7684\u5206\u754c\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u8dcc\u5e45\u4f86\u5b9a\u7fa9\uff0c\u4f46\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e0d\u80fd\u592a\u5c0f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u80a1\u5e02\u9577\u671f\u8da8\u52e2\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6578\u6642\u9593\u90fd\u662f\u7de9\u6162\u7684\u5411\u4e0a\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u518d\u914d\u4e0a\u5c11\u6578\u5feb\u901f\u4e14\u5e45\u5ea6\u5927\u7684\u5927\u8dcc\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u4f60\u53ea\u8981\u5224\u65b7\u51fa\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u5c31\u662f\u591a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8dcc20%\u7b97\u662f\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\u6211\u8a8d\u70ba\u662f\u53ef\u884c\u7684\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f20%\u7684\u56de\u6a94\u4e26\u975e\u592a\u983b\u7e41\u767c\u751f\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4f46\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\u4f4e\u65bc20%\u5176\u5be6\u5c31\u5f88\u983b\u7e41\u9047\u5230\uff0c\u4e0d\u9069\u5408\u505a\u70ba\u591a\u7a7a\u5206\u9694\u7684\u4f9d\u64da\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53ef\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/stock-crisis-win-3\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u5d29\u76e4\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>2. \u9664\u4e86\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u9084\u6709\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u72c0\u6cc1\u53eb\u505a\u300c\u76e4\u6574\u300d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u76e4\u6574\u5c31\u662f\u6c92\u6709\u7279\u5b9a\u8da8\u52e2\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u5728\u7dda\u5716\u4e0a\u6703\u5448\u73fe\u6a6b\u5411\u767c\u5c55\uff0c<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u7531\u65bc\u5728\u4ee5\u6578\u5e74\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u53bb\u770b\u50f9\u683c\u8da8\u52e2\u6642\uff0c\u76e4\u6574\u7684\u6642\u6a5f\u9ede\u90fd\u6bd4\u8f03\u96f6\u788e\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5176\u5be6\u6c92\u5fc5\u8981\u7279\u5225\u53bb\u505a\u5340\u9694\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>3. \u591a\u982d\u8ddf\u7a7a\u982d\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u4e8b\u5f8c\u4e00\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\u624d\u80fd\u65b7\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u80fd\u9810\u6e2c\u7576\u4e0b\u72c0\u6cc1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u5230\u4eca\u5929\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u8dcc\u5e45\u5df2\u7d93\u9054\u523020%\uff0c\u9032\u5165\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u8acb\u554f\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u4e00\u5b9a\u6703\u7e7c\u7e8c\u8dcc\u55ce\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5f9e\u4f4e\u9ede\u4e0a\u6f32\u4e8620%\uff0c\u9032\u5165\u591a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u8acb\u554f\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u4e00\u5b9a\u6703\u7e7c\u7e8c\u6f32\u55ce\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u7b54\u6848\u662f\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u5f80\u5f80\u5728\u4e00\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\u5f8c\uff0c\u56de\u982d\u770b\u7dda\u5716\uff0c\u624d\u77e5\u9053\u7576\u6642\u662f\u591a\u982d\u9084\u662f\u7a7a\u982d\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4f46\u5728\u7576\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4e26\u6c92\u8fa6\u6cd5\u9810\u77e5\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u8da8\u52e2\u6703\u7e7c\u7e8c\u9084\u662f\u6703\u5feb\u901f\u53cd\u8f49\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6240\u4ee5\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c<br \/>\n\u901a\u5e38\u4f60\u5728\u65b0\u805e\u5a92\u9ad4\u4e0a\u770b\u5230\u5728\u8ac7\u8ad6\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u6642\uff0c\u8ac7\u7684\u5f80\u5f80\u90fd\u662f\u300c\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u4e8b\u5be6\u300d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u300c\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u300d\uff0c<br \/>\n\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u901a\u5e38\u6703\u628a\u9019\u5169\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\u641e\u6df7\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u505a\u51fa\u932f\u8aa4\u6c7a\u7b56\u3001\u8ffd\u9ad8\u6bba\u4f4e\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u9019\u9ede\u8981\u7279\u5225\u7559\u610f\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><strong>\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u6709\u8fa6\u6cd5\u9810\u5224\u55ce\uff1f\u6211\u7684\u770b\u6cd5<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u5728\u7d93\u904e\u8a31\u591a\u6578\u64da\u6e2c\u8a66\u4ee5\u5f8c\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u8a8d\u70ba\u7d55\u5927\u591a\u6578\u6307\u6a19\u90fd\u53ea\u80fd\u300c\u4e8b\u5f8c\u505a\u78ba\u8a8d\u300d\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a\u80a1\u50f9\u7684\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u6216\u5404\u7a2e\u7d93\u6fdf\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u5b83\u96d6\u7136\u80fd\u5e6b\u6211\u5011\u6392\u9664\u4e00\u4e9b\u96dc\u8a0a\uff0c\u4f46\u7576\u4f60\u80fd\u78ba\u8a8d\u6642\uff0c\u7a7a\u982d\uff0f\u591a\u982d\u5f80\u5f80\u90fd\u5df2\u7d93\u767c\u751f\u4e00\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u770b\u80a1\u50f9\u7dda\u5716\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u4e9b\u6307\u6a19\u80fd\u6709\u9810\u6e2c\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u7684\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u574a\u9593\u4e5f\u6709\u8a31\u591a\u8cc7\u6599\u548c\u66f8\u7c4d\u5728\u6559\u9019\u4e9b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u4e9b\u6307\u6a19\u4e26\u975e\u6c92\u7528\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u908f\u8f2f\u4e5f\u6b63\u78ba\uff0c\u4f46\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u5728\u5b78\u7fd2\u6642\u5f80\u5f80\u53ea\u770b\u5230\u5b83\u6709\u767c\u63ee\u505a\u7528\u7684\u6642\u5f8c\uff0c\u5ffd\u7565\u5176\u4ed6\u5145\u6eff\u8457\u300c\u8aa4\u5224\u300d\u7684\u6642\u6a5f\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7c21\u55ae\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u6307\u6a19\u80fd\u9810\u6e2c\u5230\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\u90a3\u4e00\u6b21\u591a\u982d\u7a7a\u982d\u8f49\u6298\uff0c\u4f46\u6642\u6a5f\u4e26\u4e0d\u6703\u592a\u7cbe\u6e96\uff0c\u524d\u5f8c\u843d\u5dee\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u5230\u5e7e\u5e74\u90fd\u662f\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\uff0c\u6b64\u5916\u4e5f\u6703\u9810\u6e2c\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u300c\u6ce2\u52d5\u300d\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6700\u7d42\u8da8\u52e2\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u8f49\u6298\u7684\u6642\u6a5f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7562\u7adf\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u771f\u6b63\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7a7a\u982d\u6b21\u6578\u4e26\u4e0d\u592a\u591a\uff0c10\u6b21\u53ef\u80fd\u50c5\u67091~2\u6b21\u6b63\u78ba\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6c92\u7d93\u904e\u4e00\u4e9b\u6e2c\u8a66\uff0c\u904e\u5ea6\u628a\u9019\u4e9b\u6307\u6a19\u505a\u70ba\u53c3\u8003\u4f9d\u64da\uff0c\u90a3\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4f60\u8981\u627f\u53d7\u6642\u5e38\u7684\u8aa4\u5224\u640d\u5931\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u6709\u591a\u982d\u6642\u537b\u6eff\u624b\u73fe\u91d1\u7684\u7591\u616e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u6709\u6642\u5019\u5982\u679c\u7b56\u7565\u6709\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u627f\u53d7\u8aa4\u5224\u7684\u640d\u5931\u662f\u53ef\u884c\u7684\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4f46\u554f\u984c\u5728\u65bc\u5927\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5c0d\u65bc\u7b56\u7565\u505a\u904e\u5145\u8db3\u7684\u6e2c\u8a66\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u53ea\u77e5\u9053\u6b63\u78ba\u90a3\u6b21\u80fd\u591a\u8cfa\u591a\u5c11\uff0c\u5ffd\u7565\u6389\u5176\u4ed6\u72af\u932f\u6642\u7684\u640d\u5931\u6216\u5c11\u8cfa\uff0c\u9019\u6a23\u6700\u5f8c\u7d50\u679c\u7576\u7136\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u4e0d\u5982\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u60f3\u4f7f\u7528\u67d0\u500b\u5224\u65b7\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u5efa\u8b70\u4f60\u5148\u7528\u7f8e\u80a1\u5e02\u5834(\u6709\u5920\u9577\u7684\u8cc7\u6599)\u6e2c\u8a66\u500b40~50\u5e74\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u6216\u81f3\u5c11\u6e2c\u8a66\u52302000\u5e74\uff0c\u7576\u4f60\u6709\u8db3\u5920\u7684\u6a23\u672c\uff0c\u624d\u8db3\u4ee5\u5224\u65b7\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u662f\u5426\u6709\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u591a\u982d(\u725b\u5e02)\u3001\u7a7a\u982d(\u718a\u5e02) \u5feb\u901f\u91cd\u9ede\u6574\u7406<\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u725b\u5e02(Bull market)=\u591a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u80a1\u5e02\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u5448\u73fe\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u5c40\u9762\uff1b\u718a\u5e02(Bear market)=\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u80a1\u5e02\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u5448\u73fe\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\u5c07\u718a\u5e02\u3001\u725b\u5e02\u7684\u5b9a\u7fa9\u70ba\uff1a\u7576\u80a1\u50f9\u8dcc\u8d85\u904e20%\u5c31\u4ee3\u8868\u9032\u5165\u718a\u5e02(\u7a7a\u982d)\u3001\u80a1\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u8d85\u904e20%\u5c31\u4ee3\u8868\u725b\u5e02(\u591a\u982d)\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u90fd\u5fc5\u9808\u7d93\u904e\u4e00\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\u624d\u80fd\u78ba\u8a8d\uff0c\u7576\u6211\u5011\u8ac7\u8ad6\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u6642\uff0c\u6307\u7684\u90fd\u662f\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u4e8b\u5be6\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u85c9\u7531\u4e00\u4e9b\u7a7a\u982d\u6307\u6a19\u4f86\u9810\u5224\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u985e\u6307\u6a19\u901a\u5e38\u6b63\u78ba\u7387\u5f88\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u524d\u52d9\u5fc5\u505a\u904e\u5145\u8db3\u7684\u6e2c\u8a66\u8207\u4e86\u89e3\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u60f3\u7279\u5225\u63d0\u9192\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u7d93\u5e38\u807d\u5230\u6709\u4eba\u8aaa\u300c\u73fe\u5728\u662f\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\u300d\u6216\u8005\u300c\u73fe\u5728\u9032\u5165\u718a\u5e02\u300d\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4f46\u5176\u5be6\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u8aaa\u7684\u90fd\u662f\u300c\u904e\u53bb\u300d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u4fdd\u8b49\u300c\u672a\u4f86\u300d\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\uff0c<br \/>\n\u771f\u5be6\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u6709\u5404\u7a2e\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u4e5f\u8a31\u662f\u8da8\u52e2\u5ef6\u7e8c\u4e00\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u4e5f\u8a31\u662f\u7acb\u5373\u8f49\u6298\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u7d55\u5c0d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e5f\u8a31\u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u6703\u6709\u500b\u7591\u554f\u662f\uff1a<br \/>\n\u300c<strong>\u5982\u679c\u6211\u6c92\u8fa6\u6cd5\u5224\u65b7\u591a\u982d\u3001\u7a7a\u982d\u7684\u8f49\u6298\u6642\u6a5f\uff0c\u6709\u8fa6\u6cd5\u6295\u8cc7\u55ce\uff1f<\/strong>\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u7b54\u6848\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u7684\uff0c\u6709\u500b\u65b9\u6cd5\u53eb\u505a\u300c\u8cc7\u7522\u914d\u7f6e\u300d\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u89e3\u6c7a\u9019\u554f\u984c\u3002<br \/>\n\u4e0b\u4e00\u7bc7\u53ef\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<a 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