{"id":58915,"date":"2023-09-09T15:13:49","date_gmt":"2023-09-09T07:13:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/\/?p=58915"},"modified":"2023-09-27T11:28:52","modified_gmt":"2023-09-27T03:28:52","slug":"principles-for-dealing-with-the-changing-world-order","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/\/principles-for-dealing-with-the-changing-world-order\/","title":{"rendered":"\u300a\u8b8a\u5316\u4e2d\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u300b\u8b80\u66f8\u7b46\u8a18: \u6b77\u53f2\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0d\u65b7\u91cd\u6f14\uff0c\u63e3\u6469\u672a\u4f86\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u9810\u5148\u6e96\u5099\u8fce\u9762\u800c\u4f86\u5404\u7a2e\u72c0\u6cc1"},"content":{"rendered":"<!-- \/367108978\/Rich01_PC_up_728x90 -->\n\t<div class='div-gpt-ad-css' id='div-gpt-ad-1564472272479-0' style='width: 728px; height: 90px;'>\n\t  <script>\n\t\tgoogletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1564472272479-0'); });\n\t  <\/script>\n\t<\/div><p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-58918\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20230825102101_83.jpg\" alt=\"\u8b8a\u5316\u4e2d\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f \u5c01\u9762 \" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u300a\u8b8a\u5316\u4e2d\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u300b\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u4f5c\u8005\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u907f\u96aa\u57fa\u91d1 &#8211; \u6a4b\u6c34\u57fa\u91d1 \u7684\u5275\u8fa6\u4ebaRay Dalio\u7684\u8457\u4f5c\uff0c<\/p>\n<p>\u7e7c\u4ed6\u7684\u4e0a\u4e00\u672c\u66f8\u300a\u5927\u50b5\u5371\u6a5f\u300b\u5728\u8ac7\u4fe1\u8cb8\u5468\u671f\u5faa\u74b0\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u66f4\u56f0\u96e3\u7684\u8b70\u984c\uff1a\u4e00\u4e9b\u6642\u9593\u975e\u5e38\u9577\u7684\u5468\u671f\u3002\u5305\u62ec\u8ca8\u5e63\u3001\u4fe1\u8cb8\u3001\u9577\u671f\u50b5\u52d9\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e1d\u570b\u7684\u8208\u8870\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u5e36\u7d66\u8b80\u8005\u4e00\u500b\u95dc\u9375\u601d\u8003\u5728\u65bc\uff1a\u300c\u5982\u679c\u6709\u4e00\u7a2e\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4e00\u8f29\u5b50\u53ea\u6703\u9047\u5230\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u7121\u6cd5\u55ae\u9760\u4eba\u751f\u7d93\u9a57\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u90a3\u61c9\u8a72\u600e\u9ebc\u6a23\u907f\u514d\u9019\u985e\u884c\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u50b7\u5bb3\uff1f\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u4e3b\u984c\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7684\u79e9\u5e8f\uff0c\u5305\u542b\u570b\u5bb6\u653f\u6cbb\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u79e9\u5e8f\u8207\u8208\u8870\uff0c\u570b\u5bb6\u8208\u8870\u5c6c\u65bc\u767e\u5e74\u4e00\u9047\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u5b83\u4e26\u975e\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u5f80\u5f80\u8d85\u51fa\u4eba\u5011\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u7d93\u9a57\u7bc4\u570d\uff0c<\/p>\n<p>\u7406\u89e3\u4e26\u6b78\u7d0d\u9019\u4e9b\u9577\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u624d\u66f4\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u61c9\u5c0d\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u751f\u4e2d\u5f9e\u4f86\u6c92\u9047\u904e\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5373\u5c07\u767c\u751f\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_64 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\">\u672c\u6587\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u6703\u544a\u8a34\u4f60\uff1a<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6611e1ca51220\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6611e1ca51220\"  aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/principles-for-dealing-with-the-changing-world-order\/#%E4%BB%80%E9%BA%BC%E6%98%AF%E9%80%B1%E6%9C%9F%EF%BC%9F\" title=\"\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u9031\u671f\uff1f\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u9031\u671f\uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/principles-for-dealing-with-the-changing-world-order\/#1_%E9%95%B7%E6%9C%9F%E5%82%B5%E5%8B%99%E5%92%8C%E8%B3%87%E6%9C%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E9%80%B1%E6%9C%9F\" title=\"1. \u9577\u671f\u50b5\u52d9\u548c\u8cc7\u672c\u5e02\u5834\u9031\u671f\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">1. \u9577\u671f\u50b5\u52d9\u548c\u8cc7\u672c\u5e02\u5834\u9031\u671f<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/principles-for-dealing-with-the-changing-world-order\/#2%E5%85%A7%E9%83%A8%E6%9C%89%E5%BA%8F%E8%88%87%E6%B7%B7%E4%BA%82%E9%80%B1%E6%9C%9F\" title=\"2.\u5167\u90e8\u6709\u5e8f\u8207\u6df7\u4e82\u9031\u671f\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2.\u5167\u90e8\u6709\u5e8f\u8207\u6df7\u4e82\u9031\u671f<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/principles-for-dealing-with-the-changing-world-order\/#3%E5%A4%96%E9%83%A8%E7%A7%A9%E5%BA%8F%E5%92%8C%E6%B7%B7%E4%BA%82%E9%80%B1%E6%9C%9F\" title=\"3.\u5916\u90e8\u79e9\u5e8f\u548c\u6df7\u4e82\u9031\u671f:\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">3.\u5916\u90e8\u79e9\u5e8f\u548c\u6df7\u4e82\u9031\u671f:<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/principles-for-dealing-with-the-changing-world-order\/#%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E5%88%86%E6%9E%90500%E5%B9%B4%E4%BE%86%E7%9A%84%E5%90%84%E7%A8%AE%E9%95%B7%E6%9C%9F%E9%80%B1%E6%9C%9F%EF%BC%9F\" title=\"\u5982\u4f55\u5206\u6790500\u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u5404\u7a2e\u9577\u671f\u9031\u671f\uff1f\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5982\u4f55\u5206\u6790500\u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u5404\u7a2e\u9577\u671f\u9031\u671f\uff1f<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E4%BB%80%E9%BA%BC%E6%98%AF%E9%80%B1%E6%9C%9F%EF%BC%9F\"><\/span>\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u9031\u671f\uff1f<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>\u9031\u671f\u7684\u610f\u601d\u662f\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u4e8b\u60c5\u6703\u53cd\u8986\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u800c\u5404\u7a2e\u72c0\u6cc1\u6703\u5f9e\u4e00\u500b\u6975\u7aef\u6f14\u8b8a\u5230\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u6975\u7aef\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7576\u9031\u671f\u958b\u59cb\u5f80\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u6975\u7aef\u767c\u751f\u8b8a\u5316\u6642\uff0c\u6703\u5c0d\u6211\u5011\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8207\u751f\u6d3b\u7522\u751f\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u885d\u64ca\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u4e9b\u9031\u671f\u6bd4\u8f03\u77ed\u3001\u6bd4\u8f03\u983b\u7e41\u9047\u5230\uff0c<\/p>\n<p>\u50cf\u662f\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76e4\u4f4610\u591a\u5e74\u767c\u751f\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u6bcf\u4eba\u4e00\u751f\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u9047\u52303~5\u6b21\u6bd4\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u5d29\u76e4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u6709\u4e9b\u5468\u671f\u5f88\u9577\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982100\u5e74\u767c\u751f\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u6bcf\u500b\u4eba\u4e00\u751f\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u6703\u9047\u5230\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6c92\u9047\u5230\u3002\u6c92\u9047\u5230\u4e0d\u7b49\u65bc\u672a\u4f86\u4e0d\u6703\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u4e0d\u7b49\u65bc\u73fe\u72c0\u4e0d\u6703\u6539\u8b8a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\u73fe\u572850\u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u662f\u76ee\u524d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5f88\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u9084\u7b97\u548c\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5e74\u7d00\u66f4\u9577\u6216\u8b80\u904e\u6b77\u53f2\u7684\u4eba\u4e5f\u8a31\u5c31\u66fe\u7d93\u9ad4\u6703\u5230\uff0c\u672c\u570b\u53ca\u4e16\u754c\u8a31\u591a\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u90fd\u66fe\u7d93\u767c\u751f\u904e\u60e1\u6027\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u524d\u4eba\u4e5f\u66fe\u7d93\u6253\u904e\u4ed7\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6230\u4e5f\u53ea\u662f\u904e\u53bb100\u5e74\u5167\u7684\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6211\u501170~100\u5e74\u7684\u751f\u547d\u4e2d\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u4ecd\u6703\u767c\u751f\u9019\u985e\u5287\u70c8\u8b8a\u5316\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u5176\u5be6\u5f88\u96e3\u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u767c\u751f\u6642\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u53ea\u6703\u5206\u70ba\u6709\u6e96\u5099\u7684\u4eba\u548c\u6c92\u6709\u6e96\u5099\u7684\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u4f46\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u554f\u984c\u662f\uff0c<br \/>\n\u5373\u4f7f\u6211\u5011\u60f3\u4e86\u89e3\u5982\u4f55\u5224\u65b7\u60c5\u52e2\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u4e5f\u90fd\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u5f9e\u4f55\u7814\u7a76\u8d77\uff0c<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u7562\u7adf\u5149\u662f\u6709\u8b80\u904e\u4e00\u4e9b\u6b77\u53f2\u66f8\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5df2\u7d93\u52dd\u904e\u5927\u591a\u6578\u4eba\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u6b78\u7d0d\u51fa\u4e00\u4e9b\u5224\u65b7\u6e96\u5247\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u7a2e100\u5e74\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u66f4\u9577\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u983b\u7e41\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u4f46\u505a\u6a23\u672c\u5206\u6790\u548c\u7d71\u8a08\u90fd\u662f\u8d85\u56f0\u96e3\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ray Dalio\u9019\u672c\u66f8\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u8a66\u5716\u5b8c\u6210\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5c07\u4e00\u4e9b\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u53cd\u8986\u9031\u671f\u6027\u767c\u751f\u4f46\u5468\u671f\u5f88\u9577\u7684\u5287\u70c8\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u505a\u51fa\u7d71\u8a08\u548c\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5305\u62ec\u50b5\u52d9\u548c\u8cc7\u672c\u5e02\u5834\u9031\u671f\u3001\u570b\u5bb6\u5167\u90e8\u885d\u7a81\u9031\u671f(\u7ffb\u8b6f\u53eb\u505a\u5167\u90e8\u6709\u5e8f\u548c\u6df7\u4e82\u9031\u671f\uff0c\u6307\u50f9\u503c\u89c0\u3001\u8ca7\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u5c0e\u81f4\u7684\u570b\u5167\u885d\u7a81)\u3001\u5916\u90e8\u79e9\u5e8f\u548c\u6df7\u4e82\u9031\u671f(\u6307\u570b\u969b\u4e0a\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u3001\u8ecd\u4e8b\u885d\u7a81)\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u300a\u8b8a\u5316\u4e2d\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u300b\u66f8\u4e2d\u8ac7\u5230\u4e09\u500b\u91cd\u8981\u5468\u671f\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"1_%E9%95%B7%E6%9C%9F%E5%82%B5%E5%8B%99%E5%92%8C%E8%B3%87%E6%9C%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E9%80%B1%E6%9C%9F\"><\/span><strong>1. \u9577\u671f\u50b5\u52d9\u548c\u8cc7\u672c\u5e02\u5834\u9031\u671f<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\u7576\u4eca\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\uff0c\u670916\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u50b5\u5238\u662f\u7528\u8ca0\u5229\u7387\u767c\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u610f\u601d\u662f\u8aaa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4eca\u5929\u4f60\u8cb7\u4e86\u9019\u500b<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-is-bonds\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u50b5\u5238<\/a>\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u4f60\u6536\u5230\u7684\u672c\u91d1\u8ddf\u5229\u606f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5c11\u65bc\u4f60\u7576\u521d\u4ed8\u51fa\u53bb\u7684\u9322\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\u9019\u662f\u500b\u5f88\u7279\u6b8a\u7684\u6642\u4ee3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5929\u6211\u5011\u6240\u8655\u5728\u7684\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u7576\u4e0b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u74b0\u5883\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u662f\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u50b5\u52d9\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e9b\u50b5\u52d9\u7522\u751f\u9031\u671f\u6027\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"2%E5%85%A7%E9%83%A8%E6%9C%89%E5%BA%8F%E8%88%87%E6%B7%B7%E4%BA%82%E9%80%B1%E6%9C%9F\"><\/span><strong>2.\u5167\u90e8\u6709\u5e8f\u8207\u6df7\u4e82\u9031\u671f<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u5167\u90e8\u79e9\u5e8f\u662f\u6307\u4e00\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u88e1\u4eba\u8207\u4eba\u76f8\u8655\u7dad\u6301\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\u76ee\u524d\u4e16\u754c\u56e0\u70ba<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/us-debt-limit\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u50b5\u52d9<\/a>\u3001<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/blog-post_17-8\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u901a\u81a8<\/a>\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u8ca7\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u5728\u8ca1\u5bcc\u3001\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u6216\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u50f9\u503c\u89c0\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u5dee\u7570\uff0c<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u4e9b\u90fd\u6703\u5c0e\u81f4\u5167\u90e8\u79e9\u5e8f\u5f9e\u6bd4\u8f03\u6709\u79e9\u5e8f\u8d70\u5411\u6bd4\u8f03\u5931\u5e8f\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"3%E5%A4%96%E9%83%A8%E7%A7%A9%E5%BA%8F%E5%92%8C%E6%B7%B7%E4%BA%82%E9%80%B1%E6%9C%9F\"><\/span><strong>3.\u5916\u90e8\u79e9\u5e8f\u548c\u6df7\u4e82\u9031\u671f:<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u5916\u90e8\u79e9\u5e8f\u662f\u6307\u570b\u8207\u570b\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u8fd1\u4e09\u4e94\u5341\u5e74\u5167\uff0c\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\u3001\u570b\u8207\u570b\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u662f\u8655\u65bc\u76f8\u5c0d\u548c\u5e73\u7684\u72c0\u614b\uff0c<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u628a\u6642\u9593\u62c9\u5230\u4e09\u767e\u5e74\u3001\u4e94\u767e\u5e74\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u6b64\u6642\u662f\u8655\u5728\u6230\u722d\u5931\u5e8f\u8207\u548c\u5e73\u7684\u72c0\u614b\u4e2d\u64fa\u76ea\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u4e9b\u4e8b\u60c5\u767c\u751f\u6642\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u90fd\u6703\u767c\u751f\u6975\u7aef\u5287\u70c8\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u592a\u5c11\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4eba\u5011\u6c92\u8fa6\u6cd5\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u9019<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/grey-rhino-vs-black-swan\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7070\u7280\u725b<\/a>\u7684\u5230\u4f86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u89c0\u5bdf\u66f4\u9577\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u9031\u671f\u8b8a\u5316\u5176\u5be6\u624d\u662f\u6b77\u53f2\u7684\u5e38\u614b\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E5%88%86%E6%9E%90500%E5%B9%B4%E4%BE%86%E7%9A%84%E5%90%84%E7%A8%AE%E9%95%B7%E6%9C%9F%E9%80%B1%E6%9C%9F%EF%BC%9F\"><\/span>\u5982\u4f55\u5206\u6790500\u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u5404\u7a2e\u9577\u671f\u9031\u671f\uff1f<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u505a\u7684\u529f\u8ab2\uff0c\u6211\u89ba\u5f97\u662f\u4e00\u822c\u4eba\u5b8c\u5168\u6c92\u8fa6\u6cd5\u505a\u7684\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u4ed6\uff0c\u6211\u89ba\u5f97\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u6b77\u53f2\u6559\u6388\u90fd\u6c92\u8fa6\u6cd5\u505a\u9019\u7a2e\u7814\u7a76\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u627e\u4e86\u904e\u53bb500\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5f37\u6b0a\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u9019\u4e9b\u9031\u671f\u767c\u751f\u6642\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u6b78\u7d0d\u51fa\u8b8a\u56e0\u548c\u8108\u7d61\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u9019\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u771f\u7406\u6216\u8005\u7d55\u5c0d\u7684\u7d50\u8ad6\uff0c\u4f46\u66f8\u4e2d\u6709\u8a31\u591a\u7d93\u9a57\u6b78\u7d0d\u7e3d\u7d50\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8b93\u4eba\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u771f\u76f8\uff0c\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u63d0\u65e9\u505a\u51fa\u6e96\u5099\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u95b1\u8b80\u5fc3\u6cd5:<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u5167\u5bb9\u8c50\u5bcc\u4e14\u5be6\u7528\u5ea6\u9ad8\uff0c\u5728\u95b1\u8b80\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u6642\uff0c\u5efa\u8b70\u5927\u5bb6\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b2\u904d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c1\u904d\uff0c\u5feb\u901f\u700f\u89bd\u6a19\u984c\u3001\u7c97\u9ad4\u6587\u5b57\u3001\u9084\u6709\u6a19\u7d05\u9ede\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u89c0\u5ff5\u3002\u6703\u6e05\u695a\u4e86\u89e3\u6574\u672c\u66f8\u8981\u8ac7\u7684\u67b6\u69cb\u8ddf\u6838\u5fc3\u7406\u5ff5\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u3002<br \/>\n\u7b2c2\u904d\uff0c\u63a5\u8457\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u7d30\u7d30\u95b1\u8b80\u5167\u6587\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u5716\u8868\u90fd\u505a\u5f97\u975e\u5e38\u6e05\u6670\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u300a<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/www.books.com.tw\/exep\/assp.php\/chiay0327\/products\/0010920073?utm_source=chiay0327&amp;utm_medium=ap-books&amp;utm_content=recommend&amp;utm_campaign=ap-202308\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">\u8b8a\u5316\u4e2d\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f<\/a>\u300b<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-56032\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20230711115355_71.jpg\" alt=\"\u8b8a\u5316\u4e2d\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\" width=\"234\" height=\"321\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u88e1 Ray Dalio \u5f88\u8a73\u76e1\u5730\u5c55\u73fe\u4e86\u4ed6\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\u800c\u4e14\u5167\u5bb9\u975e\u5e38\u8c50\u5bcc\uff0c\u63a8\u85a6\u7d66\u5c0d\u9019\u500b\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u6709\u8208\u8da3\u7684\u4eba\uff01<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u88dc\u5145\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6a4b\u6c34\u57fa\u91d1(Bridgewater Associates)\u662f\u7531<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/ray-dalio-bridgewater-associates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u96f7\u00b7\u9054\u5229\u5967(Ray Dalio)<\/a>\u65bc1975\u5e74\u6210\u7acb\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4e26\u65bc1996\u5e74\u767c\u884c\u6a4b\u6c34\u5168\u5929\u5019\u6295\u8cc7\u7b56\u7565(\u82f1\u6587: All-Weather Strategy\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u4eba\u7a31\u70baAll-Season)\uff0c<br \/>\n\u5e0c\u671b\u7528\u6700\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u4f86\u5e6b\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u8ffd\u6c42\u5408\u7406\u5831\u916c\uff0c\u81f3\u4eca\u5df2\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u907f\u96aa\u57fa\u91d1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80: <a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/bridgewater-associates-all-weather-strategy-0\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6a4b\u6c34\u57fa\u91d1\u5168\u5929\u5019\u6295\u8cc7\u7b56\u7565<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u4e4b\u524d\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u6536\u5230\u5546\u5468\u9080\u8acb\uff0c\u5c07Ray Dalio\u7684\u65b0\u66f8\u300a\u8b8a\u5316\u4e2d\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u300b\u505a\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u5f71\u7247\u4ecb\u7d39\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f71\u7247\u9023\u7d50: <a href=/index.html"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=mTfb0dSy4O4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">https:\/\/youtu.be\/mTfb0dSy4O4<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u539f\u6587\u767c\u8868\u65bc<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/groups\/rich01\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f \u8b80\u66f8\u793e\u5718<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e5f\u5206\u4eab\u5e7e\u500b\u5c0f\u6545\u4e8b\u7d66\u4f60\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4e5f\u8a31\u5c0d\u6295\u8cc7\u7406\u8ca1\u8207\u81ea\u6211\u6210\u9577\u6703\u6709\u5e6b\u52a9\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>1.<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-is-raise-interest-rates\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5347\u606f\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\u5347\u606f\u5f71\u97ff\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p>2.<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-fed-negative-interest\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u8ca0\u5229\u7387\uff1f\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u3001\u80a1\u5e02\u50b5\u5e02\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u9ad4\u7cfb\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5f71\u97ff\uff1f\u8ca0\u5229\u7387\u6642\u8a72\u5982\u4f55\u6295\u8cc7\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p>3.<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/learn-fund-all\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u57fa\u91d1\u6295\u8cc7\u61f6\u4eba\u5305\uff1a\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u7684\u57fa\u91d1\u6559\u5b78\u6587\u7ae0\u5b8c\u6574\u6e05\u55ae<\/a><\/p>\n<p>4.<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/us-stock-invest-all\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7f8e\u80a1\u65b0\u624b\u5165\u9580\u6559\u5b78\u61f6\u4eba\u5305- \u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u5e36\u4f60\u8cb7\u9032\u7b2c\u4e00\u652f\u7f8e\u80a1<\/a><\/p>\n<p>5.<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/financial-planning-3steps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u8ca1\u52d9\u7406\u8ca1\u898f\u5283\u600e\u9ebc\u505a\uff1f\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u7684\u7406\u8ca1\u898f\u5283 3 \u6b65\u9a5f<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u52a0\u5165\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751fFB\u793e\u5718\uff0c\u5145\u5be6\u66f4\u591a\u7406\u8ca1\u597d\u77e5\u8b58<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\r\n<p>50\u6b72\u4e4b\u524d\u60f3\u9000\u4f11\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u61c2\u7406\u8ca1\uff0c<br \/>\u89e3\u6c7a\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u7169\u60f1\uff01<\/p>\r\n<p><a href=/index.html"https:\/\/bit.ly\/2NTBOAv\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-7106\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20190824195036_69.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"687\" height=\"243\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>\u6700\u8fd1\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u958b\u4e86\u4e00\u5802\u7684\u300c<strong>\u7528\u7f8e\u80a1ETF\u5275\u9020\u7a69\u5b9a\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41<\/strong>\u300d\u6559\u5b78\u8ab2\u7a0b\uff0c<br \/>\u9019\u5802\u8ab2\u7a0b\u6703\u5f9e\u57fa\u790e\u5165\u9580\u3001\u8cc7\u6599\u67e5\u8a62\u5230\u5be6\u969b\u64cd\u4f5c\uff0c<br \/>\u6559\u4f60\u5b78\u6703\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u500b\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u5168\u7403ETF\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7d2f\u7a4d\u5df2\u7d93\u6709\u5c07\u8fd11100\u4f4d\u540c\u5b78\u4e0a\u8ab2\u3002<\/p>\r\n<p>\u7dda\u4e0a\u8ab2\u7a0b\u300b<a href=/index.html"http:\/\/bit.ly\/2FV3hPc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">\u7f8e\u80a1ETF\u5275\u9020\u7a69\u5b9a\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u7dda\u4e0a\u8ab2\u7a0b\u9023\u7d50<\/a><\/p>\n<p><br \/><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">\u5982\u679c\u89ba\u5f97\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u6709\u5e6b\u52a9\uff0c<\/span><\/strong><br \/><strong><span style=\"color: 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