{"id":9810,"date":"2020-07-02T21:59:36","date_gmt":"2020-07-02T13:59:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/\/?p=9810"},"modified":"2022-12-20T16:29:33","modified_gmt":"2022-12-20T08:29:33","slug":"us-shiller-pe-ratio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/\/us-shiller-pe-ratio\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6295\u8cc7\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u9577\u671f\u6295\u5831\u738710.1%\uff1f\u6b0a\u5a01\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\uff1a\u73fe\u5728\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u4e86\u2026\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u300c\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u300d\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<!-- \/367108978\/Rich01_PC_up_728x90 -->\n\t<div class='div-gpt-ad-css' id='div-gpt-ad-1564472272479-0' style='width: 728px; height: 90px;'>\n\t  <script>\n\t\tgoogletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1564472272479-0'); });\n\t  <\/script>\n\t<\/div><p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-39475 size-full\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20220719032401_45.jpg\" alt=\"\u6295\u8cc7\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u9577\u671f\u6295\u5831\u738710.1%\" width=\"1557\" height=\"815\" srcset=\"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20220719032401_45.jpg 1557w, https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20220719032401_45-1536x804.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1557px) 100vw, 1557px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u6668\u661f\u516c\u53f8(Morningstar\uff0cInc.)\u66fe\u65bc2016\u5e74\u767c\u4f48\u5831\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c<br \/>\n\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u9577\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u5831\u7387\u70ba10.1%\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u7f8e\u570b\u6b0a\u5a01\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u537b\u9810\u8a00\uff0c<br \/>\n\u672a\u4f86\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u5831\u7387\u90fd\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u905410.1%\u4e86\u3002<br \/>\n\u9019\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u95dc\u9375\uff0c\u7adf\u7136\u8207\u300c\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u300d\u6709\u95dc\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u80a1\u7968\u80a1\u5e02\u6536\u76ca\u76843\u500b\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u7576\u5e02\u5834\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u9ad8\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c\u6703\u6bd4\u8f03\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<h2>\u672a\u4f86\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u9577\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u5831\u7387\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u6709\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u4e00\u534a\uff1f<\/h2>\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u6668\u661f\u516c\u53f8(Morningstar\uff0cInc.)<br \/>\n2016\u5e74\u767c\u5e03\u7684\u300a\u4f0a\u4f2f\u68ee\u7d93\u5178\u5e74\u9451\u300b(<em>Ibbotson Classic Yearbook)<\/em>\uff0c<br \/>\n\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u9577\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u5831\u7387\u70ba10.1%\uff0c<br \/>\n\u9019\u500b\u6578\u64da\u8ffd\u8e64\u4e86\u81ea1926\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u9577\u905489\u5e74\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u6642\u9593\u5920\u9577\u4e5f\u5920\u53ef\u4fe1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u514b\u840a\u65af\u8499\u7814\u7a76(Crestmont Research)\u5275\u8fa6\u4eba\u4f0a\u65af\u7279\u6797(<em>Ed Easterling<\/em>)\u537b\u5927\u81bd\u9810\u8a00\uff0c<br \/>\n\u672a\u4f86\u768410\u5e74\u300120\u5e74\u300150\u5e74\u3001\u751a\u81f390\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u5831\u7387\u90fd\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u905410.1%\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>\u6839\u64da\u4f0a\u65af\u7279\u6797\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\uff0c<\/strong><strong>\u672a\u4f86\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u5408\u7406\u7684\u9577\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u5831\u7387\uff0c\u61c9\u8a72\u53ea\u6709\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5462\uff1f<br \/>\n\u7c21\u8ff0\u4ed6\u7684\u8ad6\u9ede\uff0c<br 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16px;\">\u80a1\u606f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\uff1a\u4f01\u696d\u7576\u4e0b\u7684\u80a1\u606f\u5831\u916c\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u80a1\u606f\u662f\u4f86\u81ea\u76c8\u9918\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u60f3\u6210\u662f\u65e2\u6709\u76c8\u9918\u7684\u5831\u916c\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4f86\u5206\u6790\u9577\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u5831\u738710.1%\u7684\u7d44\u6210\uff0c<br \/>\n\u6839\u64daIbbotson\u5728\u7b2c157\u9801\u4e0a\u7684\u8aaa\u660e\uff0c<br \/>\n\u300c\u7372\u5229\u589e\u9577\u300d\u5c0d\u9577\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u5831\u7387\u7684\u8ca2\u737b\u70ba5.2%\u3001<br \/>\n\u300c\u5e02\u5834\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u300d\u70ba0.6%\u3001<br \/>\n\u300c\u80a1\u606f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u300d\u5247\u70ba4.3%\u3002<br \/>\n\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4e09\u8005\u52a0\u7e3d\u8d77\u4f86\uff0c\u7e3d\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u5831\u7387(\u6263\u9664\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\u3001\u8cbb\u7528\u7b49\u4e4b\u524d)\u70ba10.1%\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-9812\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200424221316_15.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"571\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u8a3b\uff1a\u672c\u6587\u7528\u7684\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\uff0c\u70ba10\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u76c8\u9918\u4e0b\u53bb\u8a08\u7b97\u7684\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u7528\u7576\u5e74\u76c8\u9918\u8a08\u7b97\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u80a1\u5e02\u6536\u76ca\u95dc\u93751\uff1a\u7372\u5229\u589e\u9577<\/h2>\n<p>\u5b83\u662f\u7531\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u6240\u9a45\u52d5\uff0c\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u5e7e\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u7372\u5229\u589e\u9577\u8207\u540d\u76ee\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u6bdb\u984d(GDP)\u589e\u9577\u5bc6\u5207\u76f8\u95dc\uff0c<br \/>\n\u540d\u76eeGDP\u589e\u9577\u662f\u5be6\u969bGDP\u589e\u9577\u52a0\u4e0a\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u3002\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u5be6\u969bGDP\u589e\u9577\u4e0d\u50c5\u6703\u8da8\u7de9\uff0c<br \/>\n\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u7387\u53ca\u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u7387\u90fd\u6bd4\u6b77\u53f2\u5e73\u5747\u4f4e\u7d041.5%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u672a\u4f86\u540d\u76eeGDP\u589e\u9577\u9810\u671f\u5c07\u6bd4\u904e\u53bb\u7de9\u6162\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u50c5\u7ba1\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6c92\u6709\u592a\u5927\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u540d\u76eeGDP\u589e\u9577\u7387\u4e0b\u964d1.5%\u6703\u4f7f\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u9577\u671f\u7e3d\u6536\u76ca\u6e1b\u5c11\u7d041.5%\u3002<br \/>\n\u5982\u679c\u5728\u6b64\u671f\u9593<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/blog-post_17-8\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387<\/a>\u78ba\u5be6\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u5c07\u5927\u5e45\u62b5\u6d88\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u5c0d\u6536\u76ca\u589e\u9577\u7684\u597d\u8655\u3002<br \/>\n\u56e0\u6b64\u5728\u6a02\u89c0\u7684\u4f4e\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u9577\u671f\u6295\u5831\u7387\u6700\u4f73\u72c0\u6cc1\u70ba8.6%\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u80a1\u5e02\u6536\u76ca\u95dc\u93752\uff1a\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4<\/h2>\n<p>\u76ee\u524d<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/pe-ratio-basic\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4<\/a>\u5df2\u63a5\u8fd1\u6b77\u53f2\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73(\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u4e0a\u500b\u4e16\u7d00\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab)\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u7684\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u589e\u9577\u662f\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u4e86\uff0c<br \/>\n\u904e\u53bb\u725b\u5e02\u57281920\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e2d\u671f\u9054\u5230\u4e86\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u7684\u9ad8\u5cf0\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u5f88\u96e3\u8d85\u8d8a\u9019\u500b\u6578\u5b57\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u662f\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u9019\u500b\u8f03\u9ad8\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5247\u6700\u4f73\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u7684\u9577\u671f\u6295\u5831\u7387\u70ba8%\uff0c<br \/>\n\u5373\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u9577\u671f\u6295\u5831\u73878.6%\uff0c\u6e1b\u6389\u904e\u53bb\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u589e\u9577\u5e36\u4f860.6%\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u63d0\u793a\uff1a<br \/>\n\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u5404\u6642\u671f\u300c\u5408\u7406\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u300d\u7406\u8ad6\u4e0a\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u4e0d\u540c\u6642\u9593\u7684\u7121\u98a8\u96aa\u5229\u7387\u4e26\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\u3002<br \/>\n\u8209\u4f8b\uff1a\u5b9a\u5b58\u5229\u73878%\u7684\u5e74\u4ee3 vs \u5b9a\u5b58\u5229\u73871%\u7684\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u540c\u6a23\u90fd\u8981\u627f\u64d4\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c<br \/>\n\u6240\u4ee58%\u7684\u5e74\u4ee3\u5275\u9020\u540c\u6a23\u5831\u916c\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u76f8\u5c0d\u6703\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u4eba\u5011\u5be7\u53ef\u9078\u64c78%\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u5831\u916c\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u66f4\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u5728\u672c\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b83\u662f\u628a\u9577\u671f\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u7576\u6210\u662f\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u56fa\u5b9a\u503c\u5728\u8a55\u4f30\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4f46\u9019\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f71\u97ff\u7d50\u8ad6\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u6642\u4ee3\u4eba\u5011\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u5831\u916c\u7684\u78ba\u4e5f\u6703\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u5347\u9ad8\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>\u80a1\u5e02\u6536\u76ca\u95dc\u93753\uff1a\u80a1\u606f\u6b96\u5229\u7387<\/h2>\n<p><a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-is-dividend-yield\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u80a1\u606f\u6b96\u5229\u7387<\/a>\u8207<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/pe-ratio-basic\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4<\/a>\u6709\u76f4\u63a5\u76f8\u95dc\uff0c1926\u5e74\uff0c\u7576\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u63a5\u8fd110\u6642\uff0c\u80a1\u606f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u8d85\u904e4%\u3002<br \/>\n\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u6c34\u5e73(\u7565\u9ad8\u65bc25)\u4e0b\uff0c\u80a1\u606f\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd12%\uff0c<br \/>\n\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u5229\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u914d\u606f\u7387\u4e0d\u6703\u56e0\u5176\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u9ad8\u4f4e\u800c\u8b8a\u5316\u3002<br \/>\n\u82e5\u4e00\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u6bcf\u80a1\u6536\u76ca\u70ba2\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u7121\u8ad6\u5176\u80a1\u50f9\u662f20\u7f8e\u5143\u9084\u662f50\u7f8e\u5143(\u537310\u500d\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u621625\u500d\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4)\uff0c<br \/>\n\u90fd\u5c07\u652f\u4ed8\u7565\u4f4e\u65bc\u6bcf\u80a11\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u80a1\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\u7576\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u70ba10\u6642\uff0c\u80a1\u606f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u70ba5%(\u630920\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8a08\u7b97\uff0c\u80a1\u606f\u70ba1\u7f8e\u5143)\uff0c<br \/>\n\u7576\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u70ba25\u6642\uff0c\u80a1\u606f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u70ba2%(\u630950\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8a08\u7b97\uff0c\u80a1\u606f\u70ba1\u7f8e\u5143)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u4eca<strong>\u9ad8\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4f7f\u9810\u671f\u6536\u200b\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u6bd4\u6b77\u53f2\u80a1\u606f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u964d\u4f4e\u4e862%\u4ee5\u4e0a<\/strong>\uff0c<br \/>\n\u56e0\u6b64<strong>\u9810\u4f30\u672a\u4f86\u6700\u597d\u7684\u9577\u671f\u6295\u5831\u7387\u8dcc\u81f36%\u4ee5\u4e0b<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u7576\u5e02\u5834\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u9ad8\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c\u6703\u4f4e\u843d\uff1f<\/h2>\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4e09\u500b\u6536\u76ca\u95dc\u9375\u4e2d\uff0c\u7372\u5229\u589e\u9577\u3001\u80a1\u606f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u9019\u5169\u500b\u662f\u512a\u79c0\u7684\u58eb\u5175\uff0c<br \/>\n\u5b83\u5011\u5c0d\u7e3d\u6295\u5831\u7387\u7684\u8ca2\u737b\u76f8\u5c0d\u53ef\u9810\u6e2c\u3002<br \/>\n\u4f46\u5176\u4e2d\u95dc\u9375\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u65b9\u5411\u5c07\u5927\u5e45\u5f71\u97ff\u672a\u4f86\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u5c07\u6c7a\u5b9a\u6295\u5831\u7387\u662f\u5426\u63a5\u8fd16%\u6216\u66f4\u4f4e\u3002<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u5728\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5347\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u7372\u5229\u4e5f\u8ddf\u8457\u4e0a\u5347\uff1b<br \/>\n\u800c\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d\u6642\u671f\u62b5\u6d88\u4e86\u7372\u5229\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u6240\u8b02\u7684<strong>\u9577\u671f\u80a1\u5e02\u9031\u671f<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2020\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u7576\u524d\u7684\u73fe\u6cc1\uff1a<br \/>\n<strong>\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u4ecd\u9ad8\u905424<\/strong><strong>\uff5e<\/strong><strong>30<\/strong><strong>\u4e4b\u9593\uff0c\u9060\u9ad8\u65bc\u6b77\u53f2\u5e73\u5747\u503c16\uff0c<br \/>\n<\/strong><strong>\u56e0\u6b64\u4e5f\u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f8610\u5e74\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u9577\u671f\u6295\u5831\u7387\u6703\u4e0d\u5982\u4ee5\u5f80<\/strong>(\u5982\u4e0b\u5716)\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-9813\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200424221758_61.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"439\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u9019\u4e00\u5f35\u5716\u8868\u4e2d\uff0c\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4(\u6a58\u8272\u7dda)\u5728\u6642\u9593\u8ef8\u4e0a\u5411\u53f3\u5e73\u79fb\u4e8610\u5e74\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u610f\u7fa9\u5728\u65bc\u7576\u4e0b\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u8cb7\u5728\u9ad8\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\uff0c\u5c0d\u672a\u4f8610\u5e74\u5831\u916c\u7387(\u7da0\u8272\u67f1\u72c0)\u6703\u6709\u986f\u8457\u7684\u8ca0\u9762\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u7d50\u8ad6\uff1a\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u662f\u5f71\u97ff\u9577\u671f\u6295\u8cc7\u5831\u916c\u7387\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u56e0\u7d20<\/h2>\n<p>\u7531\u65bc\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u8da8\u7de9\uff0c\u4f01\u696d\u7372\u5229\u53ca\u80a1\u606f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u8ddf\u8457\u6210\u9577\u8da8\u7de9\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c<br \/>\n\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u6295\u5831\u7387\u8981\u7dad\u6301\u50cf\u6b77\u53f2\u503c\u90a3\u9ebc\u9ad8\u5df2\u7d93\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u56f0\u96e3\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u5728<strong>\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u9ad8<\/strong>\u6642\u6295\u5165\u80a1\u5e02\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u6536\u76ca\u5c07\u6703\u4e0d\u5982\u6b77\u53f2\u5e73\u5747\u503c\uff1b<br \/>\n\u5728<strong>\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u4f4e<\/strong>\u6642\u6295\u5165\u80a1\u5e02\uff0c\u624d\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7372\u5f97\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u5831\u916c\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h3>\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u89c0\u9ede\uff1a<\/h3>\n<p>\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u6574\u7406\u5230Crestmont Research\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8b93\u6211\u5011\u5b78\u5230\u80a1\u5e02\u9577\u671f\u6295\u8cc7\u7372\u5229\u4f86\u6e90\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u4f86\u81ea\u65bc\uff1a\u76c8\u9918\u6210\u9577\u3001\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u8b8a\u5316\u3001\u80a1\u606f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u3002<br \/>\n\u56e0\u70ba\u80a1\u606f\u662f\u4f86\u81ea\u76c8\u9918\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5982\u679c\u5728\u66f4\u7c21\u5316\u4e00\u9ede\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u5c31\u53ea\u4f86\u81ea\u4f01\u696d\u76c8\u9918(\u6db5\u84cb\u80a1\u606f\u4ee5\u53ca\u76c8\u9918\u6210\u9577)\u8207\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u8b8a\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f9e\u8cc7\u6599\u4e2d\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u7576\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u504f\u9ad8\u6642\u8cb7\u9032\uff0c\u6703\u5c0e\u81f4\u672a\u4f86\u5831\u916c\u56e0\u70ba\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d\u800c\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u5c0e\u81f4\u5831\u916c\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u4e3b\u56e0\u3002<br \/>\n\u53cd\u9762\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u4f01\u696d\u76c8\u9918(\u80a1\u606f\u3001\u6210\u9577)\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u9664\u4e86\u5927\u856d\u689d\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u90fd\u4fdd\u6301\u57285%~10%\u4e4b\u9593\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u6211\u5011\u9577\u671f\u6295\u8cc7\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u76e4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u9ede\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b78\u5230\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8a55\u4f30\u6295\u8cc7\u5831\u916c\u81f3\u5c11\u8981\u770b\u672a\u4f8610\u5e74\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u53ea\u770b\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u5169\u5e74\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u904e\u6700\u5f8c\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u751f\u4e5f\u8981\u63d0\u9192\u5169\u500b\u554f\u984c\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>1. \u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u5716\u8868\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u767c\u89ba\u9ad8\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u6642\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u672a\u4f86\u5831\u916c\u4f4e\u843d\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5011\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u4e26\u7121\u6cd5\u9810\u6e2c\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u5728\u591a\u9ad8\u7684\u6642\u5019\u6703\u53cd\u8f49\uff0c<br \/>\n\u4f8b\u5982\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u57281986-1995\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u5df2\u7d93\u7a81\u7834\u4e86\u6b77\u53f2\u5e73\u5747\u7684\u4e2d\u7dda\uff0c\u5230\u4e86\u904e\u53bb\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u504f\u9ad8\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u6700\u9ad8PE\u6709\u5230\u63a5\u8fd125\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u6642\u5373\u4f7f\u6295\u8cc710\u5e74\u3001\u78b0\u4e0a2000\u5e74\u7db2\u8def\u6ce1\u6cab\uff0c\u9577\u671f\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c\u4f9d\u7136\u6709\u63a5\u8fd110%\uff0c\u5f8c\u9762\u624d\u958b\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u6211\u5011\u53ea\u80fd\u77e5\u9053\u767c\u751f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u96e3\u4ee5\u78ba\u5b9a\u7cbe\u6e96\u7684\u53cd\u8f49\u9ede\uff0c\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u5404\u6642\u671f\u7684\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u6975\u7aef\u503c\u90fd\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u592a\u65e9\u505a\u60b2\u89c0\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u5c31\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5f88\u9577\u6642\u9593\u932f\u904e\u5408\u7406\u7684\u5831\u916c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6bd4\u8f03\u597d\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u61c9\u8a72\u662f\u9069\u7576\u7684<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/how-asset-allocation-1\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u8cc7\u7522\u914d\u7f6e<\/a>\uff0c\u53bb\u8abf\u6574\u5404\u8cc7\u7522\u6b0a\u91cd\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4e\u3002\u6b64\u5916\u5275\u9020\u7a69\u5b9a\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\uff0c\u8b93\u81ea\u5df1\u5728\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u5404\u500b\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u90fd\u6709\u8cc7\u91d1\u53ef\u6295\u5165\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u907f\u514d\u4f4e\u5831\u916c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u5716\u8868\u53ef\u4ee5\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u6975\u7aef\u4f4e\u5831\u916c\u7684\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u5176\u5be6\u662f\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f88\u7a00\u5c11\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2. \u5f9e1990\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u80a1\u7684\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u5c31\u518d\u4e5f\u6c92\u6709\u56de\u523015\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7121\u98a8\u96aa\u5229\u7387\u57281980\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u5f8c\u5c31\u662f\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u5230\u8fd1\u5e74\u5df2\u7d93\u964d\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd1\u96f6\uff0c\u4e14\u77ed\u671f\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5927\u5e45\u5347\u606f\u7684\u8de1\u8c61\u3002\u5728\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u4e5f\u6703\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u88ab\u63a8\u5347\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u9664\u975e\u4f01\u696d\u76c8\u9918\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u6211\u5011\u5f88\u96e3\u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f86\u5831\u916c\u6709\u8ddf\u904e\u53bb\u6b77\u53f2\u4e00\u6a23\u9ad8\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u984d\u5916\u5206\u4eab\u5e7e\u7bc7\u76f8\u95dc\u6587\u7ae0\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>1.\u00a0<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/few-money-invest-3\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">20\u842c\u5143\u53ef\u4ee5\u958b\u59cb\u6295\u8cc7\u55ce\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p>2.\u00a0<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/learn-etf-all\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">ETF\u65b0\u624b\u5165\u9580\u61f6\u4eba\u5305<\/a><\/p>\n<p>3.\u00a0<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/us-stocks-broker-choose\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u7f8e\u80a1\u958b\u6236\u300b\u5e38\u7528\u5238\u5546Top5\u63a8\u85a6<\/a><\/p>\n<p>4.\u00a0<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/jisun-account-588\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">\u80a1\u7968\u958b\u6236\u300b\u6700\u65b0\u958b\u6236\u512a\u60e0\u63a8\u85a6<\/a><\/p>\n<p>5.\u00a0<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/fund-cnyes-mrmarket\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" 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